I set out an approach to climate change using scenario based futuring in my post at link.
However, after feeling rather weary about all the climate change denial ricocheting round the net, driven by a combination of ‘we don’t like the solutions because they would involve an increased role for government, so it can’t be happening‘ and cherry picking evidence, by people who probably haven’t done a controlled experiment or built a scientific theory in their lives, I found the verve of this site invigorating:
It starts with each denialist argument and connects you to the relevant refutation and peer reviewed research. And no the rise in global temperatures did not stop in 1998 which was a trend line outlier, and not a good place to start measuring, according to my recall of Statistics 101. Yes clouds and water vapour are important which is why they are in the climate models and so on. And all science involves creating and testing models, so good luck with model-free scientific theory. Done intelligently and civilly.
Of course as you will have read my other posts, my real problem with climate change denialists is their certainty about the future: human induced climate change is definitely 100% not happening. The web site above just provides the data without rubbing any noses in it or stating it is all 100% locked up.
And you may also recall, I prefer the term climate change, as what we are probably facing is not a linear increase in temperatures, but a more chaotic picture, including for example perhaps the Gulf Stream slowing that might make Western Europe much colder, droughts in many places, floods in others, and more extreme weather generally. Global Warming is far too comforting a phrase.
And the reason I include Climate Change in this blog, is not only as a good example of bad methodology and incivility on science/political controversy, but for the same reason the Pentagon is watching climate change so closely: it is likely even at the lower end of temperature rise (1-2 degrees C), to spawn major conflicts, wars, water shortages, species extinctions, and refugee movements. We live on planet already environmentally highly stressed and this will get worse as global population rises from 6 to 9 billion, and more people have middle class consumption patterns. Climate change is a magnifier of such problems which we could very well do with out.
Greening the ‘burbs with native plants: