Foxes, Hedgehogs and Forecasting: Philip Tetlock

I like the above diagram from Philip Tetlock’s great book on political forecasting ‘Expert Political Judgment’ which suggests ways we can improve, as well as the factors that damage, our ability to forecast political and other events. It is based on Isaiah Berlin’s distinction I have posted on previously between the Hedgehog that knows one thing and the Fox that knows many things or in systems thinking terms, has many models of the world.

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About creativeconflictwisdom

I spent 32 years in a Fortune Five company working on conflict: organizational, labor relations and senior management. I have consulted in a dozen different business sectors and the US Military. I work with a local environmental non profit. I have written a book on the neuroscience of conflict, and its implications for conflict handling called Creative Conflict Wisdom (forthcoming).
This entry was posted in Conflict Book Reviews, Conflict Humor, Conflict Processes, Philosophy of Conflict, Uncategorized, Ways to handle conflict and tagged , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

One Response to Foxes, Hedgehogs and Forecasting: Philip Tetlock

  1. Keep functioning ,fantastic job!

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