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Category Archives: Conflict Statistics
The Medium is the Message: Historical Impact of New Technologies
New media are usually haled as a major step in the spreading of enlightenment and knowledge. However: In 1487 two Dominican Friars Heinrich Kramer and Jakob Sprenger published “Malleus Malificarum”, (Hammer of the Witches) the definitive treatise on why someone … Continue reading
Bayes Theory in Economics and Economic Forecasting
In response to a recent post in Real World Economics, I set out my views on the application of Bayes Theorem to economics and economics forecasting. https://rwer.wordpress.com/2018/02/13/the-limits-of-probabilistic-reasoning-2/ It’s not really related to how I use Bayes Theorem, but then maybe … Continue reading
Readers’ Responses to Edward Luce’s “The Discrete Terror of the American Bourgeoisie”
The responses to Edward Luce’s article below was as interesting as the original: “Real politicians know that they must ask people for their vote: never take anything for granted. It is an equally good idea for columnists to ask … Continue reading
Guide to Statistics in a Mis-Leading Age: Tim Harford
Great insights from Tim Harford in the UK Financial Times: “The best financial advice for most people would fit on an index card.” That’s the gist of an offhand comment in 2013 by Harold Pollack, a professor at the University … Continue reading
Posted in Academic Conflict, Conflict Processes, Conflict Statistics, Neuro-science of conflict, PERSONAL CONFLICT RESOLUTION: CREATIVE STRATEGIES, Philosophy of Conflict, Uncategorized, US Political Conflict, Ways to handle conflict
Tagged confirmation bias, Statisical bias, Tim Harford, understanding statistics
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Other Approaches to the US Gun Death Epidemic
It is interesting that all sides in the gun death issue seem to want to fight it as a matter of huge irreconcilable principle and get nowhere. And then when you suggest: oh let’s look at the UK with one … Continue reading
The Great Gatsby Curve: Inequality and Social Mobility by Country
An interesting graphic from Bloomberg Business Week:
Wars of the 20th and 21st Centuries: Piero Scaruffi
Useful information from Pierro Scarfuri: Wars and Casualties of the 20th and 21st Centuries (slowly extending it back to the 19th century as i find data)by Piero Scaruffi 160 million people died in wars during the 20th century (See also … Continue reading