Tag Archives: Brexit

The UK/EU Restoration Movement

UK now having left the EU, time for: The UK/EU Restoration Movement: 1) Keep connected, keep our spirits up, support each other 2) Try to get a good Labour Leader sympathetic to our cause 3) Join political parties to gently … Continue reading

Posted in Brexit, Conflict Processes, Economic Conflict, Uncategorized, Ways to handle conflict | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

How Not to Negotiate Trade Deals Post Brexit

Lifted from the UK Guardian comments this morning. Says it all really. And I post this for conflict and negotiation interest rather than a specifically Brexit point though despite my old friend Bill Ury teaching the British Cabinet Interest Based … Continue reading

Posted in Brexit, Conflict History, Conflict Humor, Conflict Processes, Economic Conflict, Philosophy of Conflict, Ways to handle conflict | Tagged , | Leave a comment

In Times of Rapid Change Do Conservatives Necessarily Go Nuts and Cease to be Conservatives?

I simply cannot understand how the conservatives I grew up with, who were pragmatic, un-dogmatic and open to reasoned argument, have been replaced by the Conservative barking mad Brexiters, and at one remove in the US, the Trump supporters and … Continue reading

Posted in Brexit, Economic Conflict, US Political Conflict | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Bayes Theory in Economics and Economic Forecasting

In response to a recent post in Real World Economics, I set out my views on the application of Bayes Theorem to economics and economics forecasting. https://rwer.wordpress.com/2018/02/13/the-limits-of-probabilistic-reasoning-2/ It’s not really related to how I use Bayes Theorem, but then maybe … Continue reading

Posted in Academic Conflict, Brexit, Conflict Humor, Conflict Processes, Conflict Statistics, Economic Conflict, Philosophy of Conflict, US Political Conflict | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Beware The Tory Cult that is Steering Brexit: Simon Kuper

Someone else shares my view that the UK Conservative Party is in the grip of Cargo Cult with catastrophic consequences: “The difficulty of Brexiting is part of the appeal: only a great tribe can renew itself through sacrifice”  In South … Continue reading

Posted in Brexit, Ways to handle conflict | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Theresa May and the Brexit Corner She Created

Theresa May is now asking the EU not to back her into a corner. This is wise of her to say but also laughable: as if she did not create the very corner she doesn’t want to be backed into by … Continue reading

Posted in Brexit, Conflict Processes, Ways to handle conflict | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Brexit: Updated Scenario Probabilities

Ah well, time for a Brexit scenario update based on Bayesian re-assessment of which way the wind blows currently, and in ascending order of probability 1) Visible Hand 15% probable. This is a friend’s predicted down to the wire outcome, … Continue reading

Posted in Brexit, Conflict Processes, Ways to handle conflict | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Across the Great Divide

What the elections in the US and UK and elsewhere are showing is a deep divide in modern advanced economies between 1) those with university education, including those areas where people cluster around those with university education and serve them … Continue reading

Posted in Brexit, Conflict Processes, Economic Conflict, US Political Conflict, Ways to handle conflict | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Brexit Means Brexit Means Endless Austerity

What seems missing from the analysis of austerity in relation to the recent UK General Election is that Brexit means endless austerity as far as the eye can see, as it likely takes 400 billion pounds a year out of … Continue reading

Posted in Economic Conflict, Ways to handle conflict | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Brexit Chest Thumping Versus Skilled Negotiation: Jonathan Powell

At last a piece of Brexit analysis by someone who has done many difficult negotiations in the past and who has learned from them: Stop the Brexit chest thumping: successful negotiators build trust. The UK must refrain from overplaying its … Continue reading

Posted in Conflict History, Conflict Processes, Ways to handle conflict | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment