Tag Archives: Wrecking Ball

Brexit: Updated Scenario Probabilities

Ah well, time for a Brexit scenario update based on Bayesian re-assessment of which way the wind blows currently, and in ascending order of probability 1) Visible Hand 15% probable. This is a friend’s predicted down to the wire outcome, … Continue reading

Posted in Brexit, Conflict Processes, Ways to handle conflict | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment