Monthly Archives: February 2018

Conflict Book Review: Anatomy of Failure: Why America Loses Every War it Starts: Harlan Ullman

Posted on February 26, 2018 by creativeconflictwisdom

Good book review of an interesting book: in today’s UK Financial Times: The man who coined the ‘shock and awe’ strategy explains the US military’s dismal record.  Washington thought Vietnam would be the next communist domino to fall. People who … Continue reading →

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Russia, America and the Contest of Sick Systems: Gideon Rachman

Posted on February 26, 2018 by creativeconflictwisdom

A stellar article in today’s UK Financial Times by Gideon Rachman: the Last Man Standing Theory: Internal resilience, not external strength, will determine the century’s power struggles. What was Vladimir Putin thinking? Viewed from the west, the Russian president’s decision … Continue reading →

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The US Has Reached the Last Stage Before Collapse: Corrupt Decadence by James Traub

Posted on February 22, 2018 by creativeconflictwisdom

  Brilliant Article from James Traub in today’s Business Insider which I print in full: essential reading and also, as well as an indictment of corrupt conservatism, an equal indictment of  the lack of new rejuvenating ideas for reform from … Continue reading →

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“The Doomsday Machine” by Daniel Ellsberg

Posted on February 19, 2018 by creativeconflictwisdom

Well the bad news: I just finished probably the most disturbing book I have ever read: Daniel Ellsberg’s “The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear Planner”. It’s main findings: (My own from his: we are lucky still to be here … Continue reading →

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Karl Polanyi in Six Points by Asad Zaman

Posted on February 17, 2018 by creativeconflictwisdom

This is close to how I see economic history and our own situation. A brilliant summary by Asad Zaman in Real World Economics at https://rwer.wordpress.com/2018/02/17/polanyis-six-points/ Polanyi’s six points:     The analysis of Polanyi’s Great Transformation can be summarized in the … Continue reading →

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The Pale Blue Dot: Carl Sagan

Posted on February 15, 2018 by creativeconflictwisdom
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Is the World Really Better than Ever? by Oliver Burkeman

Posted on February 15, 2018 by creativeconflictwisdom

Worth the long read: the argument between optimists and pessimists re our current situation: from today’s UK Guardian:         The headlines have never been worse. But an increasingly influential group of thinkers insists that humankind has never … Continue reading →

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Bayes Theory in Economics and Economic Forecasting

Posted on February 13, 2018 by creativeconflictwisdom

In response to a recent post in Real World Economics, I set out my views on the application of Bayes Theorem to economics and economics forecasting. The limits of probabilistic reasoning It’s not really related to how I use Bayes Theorem, … Continue reading →

Posted in Academic Conflict, Brexit, Conflict Humor, Conflict Processes, Conflict Statistics, Economic Conflict, Philosophy of Conflict, US Political Conflict | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

12 Rules for Life by Jordan Peterson: Review by Julian Baggini

Posted on February 11, 2018 by creativeconflictwisdom

Canadian Psychology Professor Jordan Peterson is all the rage I hear, being told this by a friend who is more in tune with Net Celebrities. And there was some famous interview on Channel 4 that as I don’t have a … Continue reading →

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Cognitive Ability and Vulnerability to Fake News: David Z. Hambrick and Madeline Marquardt

Posted on February 8, 2018 by creativeconflictwisdom

Some interesting research in Scientific American on fake news and vulnerability to it: “Fake news” is Donald Trump’s favorite catchphrase. Since the election, it has appeared in some 180 tweets by the President, decrying everything from accusations of sexual assault against him … Continue reading →

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